Here is my original post, which mentioned John Dvorak's article on the co-opting of blogging by Big Media and in which he asserts that a certain survey might indicate that blogging was already on the decline based on evidence of high abandonment rates.
Well, I went and looked at that survey and it does show some interesting numbers. Dvorak is right..the growth trend for blogging is declining. Of course thats like saying that a jet plane is slowing down, yes, its slowing down but its still going really fast on an absolute scale. Perseus indicates that while the growth rate of 131% for 2003 will fall by almost 30 points to 105% in 2004, that will still result in a created blog population of 10.3 million. That means that extrapolating these trends that by the end of '05, we could be looking at a created blog population of between 15 to 20 million!
Looking at the smallest population cited in the report, the number of blogs that were updated daily, Perseus cites a current number of about 50K. That seems to mean that by the end of '04, we could be looking at a population of 100K blogs that are updated daily. Another year and let's just add another few tens of thousands of dialy updated blogs.